Supporters see a productivity windfall—leadership urging heavy AI use and some devs celebrating “99% AI‐generated” wins—while skeptics point to clogged reviews, incoherent architectures, and a policy vacuum. Short‐term velocity meets long‐term maintainability when “vibe‐coded” mega‐PRs arrive packed with abstractions and AI‐friendly rewrites that dodge design rationale; one senior engineer notes colleagues “make very heavy use of AI coding, even for ambiguous or design‐heavy or performance‐sensitive components” (Reddit, r/ExperiencedDevs, 2025‐12‐05). Reviewers describe 12–15 hour weeks untangling sprawling diffs, and vendors implicitly concede that models don’t know a team’s architecture or invariants. The sharpest risk isn’t style, it’s speed: “The systemic risk is not that a model writes ‘bad code,’ but that its mistakes propagate faster” (the article). Yet the evidence base is practitioner anecdotes plus tool‐maker signals, not longitudinal metrics, and the article surfaces credible counterweights—green/yellow/red work zones and tighter PR constraints—that suggest this isn’t a dead‐end so much as an operating‐model gap. The provocation stands: if your process can’t say when and how AI should write code, it’s not engineering—it’s throughput theater.
Here’s the counterintuitive takeaway the facts support: the fastest teams will get there by slowing the work down—smaller PRs, explicit design intent, tests as contracts, and AI treated as a junior, not an oracle—because the bottleneck is decision quality, not token throughput. The near‐term shift is organizational, not model‐driven: codify machine‐consumable architecture guides, capture metadata on AI involvement, wire AI‐aware linters into CI, and watch variance in review time and defect rates as leading indicators. As AI‐aware tools mature—policy‐driven agents, architecture‐conforming refactor bots—the winners will be CTOs, security leaders, and fintech/quant teams that align generation with governance. Watch for teams that turn “vibe” into verifiable intent. The future of AI engineering belongs to those who write less code—and more constraints.